Friday, May 29, 2009

You Are Part Of The Rebellion, Like It Or Not...

For my follow-up to Tuesday's piece on the new credit card bill, I am going to bring in another movie reference because while we may be experiencing the beginning of a minor version of the collapse of all of those bank buildings like at the end of Fight Club, it is not actually coming until August 22, 2010, so until then, America is going to be feeling a bit like Lando Calrissian. Remember in Empire when Dick Cheney kept telling Lando to pray that he didn't alter the deal further? If you are carrying any credit card balances between now and when the credit card reform legislation actually forces the credit card empire to lower your interest rates to reasonable levels on Augsut 22, 2010, you are going to feel like going back to finish your Jedi training so that you can better fight the evil credit card empire.

Think of today's credit card times in the context of the six Star Wars movies. Today, we are in the midst of Episode 5 - The Empire Strikes Back. Episodes 1-3 are folklore, bits and pieces of mythological details - times long gone that came before you that witnessed the birth of credit cards, issued with low interest rates by small local banks to consumers who always paid their balances off every month, and then witnessed the early battles between the banks and consumers as the banks grew larger and the consumers were oppressed into submission over time, accepting higher interest rates and not paying off balances anymore, until at the end of Episode 3, when the banks had become a massive multi-national credit card empire in supreme control, bending consumers to their will, those consumers still taking on ever-increasing amounts of credit, feeding the empire's growth, not necessarily against their will, but in a complacent stupor. All of this came before you, but somehow, you are paying the price for it today.

Think of Episode 4 as your own personal New Hope that spanned from the day you were granted your first credit card until May 22, 2009, the day The Leader signed the credit card reform bill into law. It was a coming of age for you, where you learned how credit worked and began to see the evil credit empire for what it really was. People offered you credit card guidance through their own painful stories, but you yourself had to experience the pain first hand before you realized that it was time to do something about this evil empire.

So, at the end of Episode 4, we as consumers all banned together and forced our leadership into doing something to fight the empire. There was a glimmer of hope about the future as Episode 4 ended on May 22, 2009, the cameras fading away from The Leader as he signed the credit card reform bill and the credits began to roll to that famous march.

But just days later, we are realizing that there was a truly fundamental flaw in our attack plan at the end of Episode 4. We didn't actually kill Dick Cheney, but simply sent him reeling into space, where he will recover and come back at us harder than ever. You are currently living in Episode 5, which will span from May 22, 2009 to February 22, 2010 and prove to be nine months of absolute pain if you are currently carrying a credit card balance. While the Credit Card Reform Bill is good and strong, it is weak and inadequate in it's first nine months, giving the credit card empire that nine months to come into compliance with its laws.


So, what do you think the empire is going to do with that nine months? This is the "painful" period that I referred to on Tuesday where if you have a credit card balance, the credit card empire is going to pull a "Capital One" on you. Switch your current record-low rates to sky-high rates for the last nine months before the laws go into effect. Consumer groups are expecting these to be the highest interest rates that we will pay in our lifetime on credit card balances.

From now until February 22, 2010, credit card consumers that are carrying a balance are going to struggle just to keep their X-wing above water and make the sky-rocketing interest payments. Interest rates are going to soar, fees are going to soar, and the evil credit card empire will have full reign to do whatever it wishes. An unbridled Karl Rove giving us all a full, long, nine months to question why in the world the politicians in Washington gave the credit card companies this nine months to comply.

Again, on Tuesday, I praised the lawmakers and The Leader for the bill, praise which was, and is still deserved, but today I join the millions of Americans who are asking why in the world Washington has given the banks nine months to comply and thrown us all to the sharks like this. The banks didn't wait nine months for their taxpayer bailout money, did they? I don't think so.

I will, still, however, give Washington credit, but always question why they agreed to this nine month window where the American consumer with a credit card balance is going to take a hard hit, no matter whether they pay their credit card bills on time or not. I just cannot imagine what would have been so difficult to include legislation that mandated that the credit card empire not be able to raise rates on customers who are paying their bills on-time during this nine month transition period.

I guess we all have nine months to figure that out, right? Much like Episode 5, we will spend this time questioning the decisions that those who came before us made, resulting in the current fight that we are in, cursing them, but knowing that a better day is on the horizon.

On February 22, 2010, the major provisions of the Credit Card Reform Bill will actually take effect. The credit card empire will no longer be able to raise rates on existing balances, charge you over-limit fees, and subject you to universal default. This is the beginning of Episode 6, the final episode, Return of The Sane. The nine months of pain will be behind us, and though some people with credit card balances are going to be paying well over 20% APR, over 30% APR perhaps, the interest rate hikes will be over. The ability for the evil credit card empire to inflict an ever-increasing amount of pain on us will have ended. Episode 6 will run from February 22 through August 22, 2010, but if you pay all of your credit card bills on time and do not default on any debt during that time period, the law (with some help from the Ewoks) will force the credit card companies to lower your interest rate shortly after August 22, 2010, back down closer to where it was on May 22, 2009.

From here until August 22, 2010, the American consumer is going to have a hard fight, but that fight will ultimately lead to a better America, and a stronger American consumer. Credit is going to be nearly impossible to get during this time and the interest rate for credit is going to shoot up into space, and we are all going to pay the price for both what we have done, and sadly, for things that we had absolutely no part in. But, on August 22, 2010, the long fight will end and we can hopefully rejoice in having made it through such a ridiculous fight that we both brought on ourselves, yet at the same time, had so little effect on as a single individual.

We can only hope that things will play out differently, but with the law signed and the dates in place, there is nothing else that we can do but sit back and go for the ride that the credit empire and the politicians have just sent us on.

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